CHESS Highlights
Sandy Lincoln, Chief Market Strategist, BMO Asset Management U.S., forecasts slow growth for the global economy and thinks recession is out of the picture, but a low inflation scenario is likely. The strength of U.S. corporations will carry the day as he predicts three of four companies will beat their sales and growth forecasts.
Lincoln noted that this year’s macroeconomic forces are the same as last year, but they now get more attention than U.S. business reports, which contributes to the current market volatility. Sima Dahl, President and CEO, Parlay Communications, gave a spell-binding luncheon presentation on Social Media. She claimed, “This is the age of referrals,” and noted that product ratings can mitigate risk for consumers. Some of her top tips:
- Social Media is not a long-term strategy. It changes too fast. Focus on what can be done tomorrow
and measure the results.
- The new marketing goal is engagement, not adoption.
- It is ten times easier to join a conversation on-line than it is to start one.
- The action verb in Social Media is listen.
Dahl has created Sway Factor, a system for building a network of people who care about you, for companies interested in developing or improving their virtual image. “In the Social Media universe, you are what you publish or what others publish about you,” says Dahl.
Peter Sims, author of “Little Bets: How Breakthrough Ideas Emerge from Small Discoveries,” encourages housewares companies to foster a “healthy insecurity” in order to break out of the left-brained habits which are ingrained by education and reinforced by business. He referenced studies that show diminishing activity in the frontal cortex – the area of the brain associated with judgment – when a person improvises. He frequently recommends improvisation courses for business people who want to improve their ability to be creative.
Sims encourages executives to be encouraging in order to foster a creative open environment. He recommended the “Principle of Plussing,” which promotes enhancement of ideas rather than debate or political competition.
Ken Harris, CEO, Kantar Retail Americas Consulting, observed that the consumer decision thoughtprocess recently moved from “Do I trade up?” to “Do I buy at all?” and that the U.S. consumer economy has now moved from the “Age of Deference to the Age of Reference.” Harris’ key forecasts include:
- Retailers will build smaller stores, with lower SKU counts.
- Gasoline prices will rise to $5 gallon, resulting in people making fewer shopping trips.
- On-line sales will grow by 30%.
Noting that “Housewares items are generally well-suited for on-line purchase,” Harris showed a brief
video of a virtual store in a South Korean subway station. Travelers use their smart phone to scan QR
codes for products which are delivered to their homes as they ride the commuter train.
Shortly after CHESS concluded, news broke about a similar virtual store, driven by QR codes in
Hungary. CHESS attendees who heard Harris, knew about this “retail” trend – some were implementing
QR code plans by the time the Hungary story broke.
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